Every crisis presents an opportunity. In Paul Petrie’s absence, I’ve picked out three ripe matches from a box full of duds in an effort to win you money this weekend.
The Championship fixtures seem to contain a few banana skins this weekend. Falkirk are on their best winning streak all season and must surely slip up at some point; Paul Hartley’s Dundee have to win against his former club Alloa Athletic to have a hope for the title; and Hamilton Academical are away to Dumbarton. Given the tension among those clubs and the fact that third-place Falkirk could be leading the league with a game left, or indeed the Accies could win the title with a game to spare, who would bet which way those results will turn out?
Instead, I pluck for Queen of the South to beat Livingston at home at 13/20, with the Lions weakened by the recent long-term injury to Simon Mensing. The Doonhamers might be able to confirm their consolidation by bettering Dumbarton’s result; if Iain Russell continues in a central attacking position then it seems inevitable that he will score.
From League 1, I like the look of Ayr United to beat Forfar Athletic away from home at 13/10. Although both sides are on a rotten run of form – Ayr have five wins in 15 but no wins in their last four matches and Forfar have no wins from five – I expect that to change shortly. With Stenhousemuir breathing down their necks, the Honest Men looked an improved, more slick team against Rangers than in other recent defeats. Ryan Stevenson’s teenage heir Alan Forrest is in a remarkable scoring streak (six goals from seven fixtures has forced his selection in the first XI), so I think they look a good price for the win. Besides, Michael Moffat hasn’t scored in three matches and will be expected to turn it on again sooner rather than later.
To complete the treble, I back Berwick Rangers to win away to Queen’s Park for 20/23. The Wee Gers don’t score as many goals away from home as they do at Shielfield Park, but it’s not often that they return home goalless – the last time that happened against a side outwith the current top two was at Montrose at the turn of the new year. QP have drawn their last three matches 1-1, but with the joint-worst home defence in the league it’s difficult to argue against Scott Dalziel, Lee Currie and Darren Lavery outscoring them.
This week’s treble: wins for Queen of the South, Ayr United and Berwick Rangers brings home a humble £70.95 profit from a tenner on. Result!
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