Running Up Stat Hill (A Deal With God)


PARTICK THISTLE will be hoping for three vital points when they visit bottom side Airdrie United. Thistle are unbeaten in their last 13 matches, while Airdrie have gone 12 league games without a win and have just one victory in their last 22. This will be the tenth league meeting between the sides at the Excelsior Stadium, and Thistle have come out on top so far, picking up five wins to Airdrie’s two, though the clash there earlier this season finished as a 1-1 draw.

Meanwhile Greenock Morton host a Dunfermline Athletic side who have been plunged into a relegation battle after their 15 point deduction in midweek. Morton are unbeaten in their last six matches at Cappielow, winning five and drawing one since their 0-3 defeat to Dumbarton in January. The Pars will need to pull themselves out of their slump quickly if they are to avoid the play-offs – they have gone ten league games without a win, conceding 28 goals in the process. The only positive for the Pars is they have drawn each of their last three away games – the only points they’ve picked up since early February. Morton have two wins and a draw against the Pars so far this season, and scored ten goals in the process, with Michael Tidser bagging doubles in each of the last two meetings.



The play-off race will be the main focus on Saturday, with the four remaining play-off candidates meeting each other this weekend. Second place Alloa Athletic have all but secured their spot, but visitors Forfar Athletic sit in fourth, just two points ahead of Arbroath. Alloa’s lofty league position owes more to their away form than it does to results at Recreation Park – they have lost their last three home games. Forfar have climbed back into the play-off spots courtesy of three consecutive wins and they will be aiming to win four games in a row for the first time since April 2011. Alloa have won all three matches against Forfar this season, each of them by a single goal.

Meanwhile third placed Brechin City will take on fifth placed Arbroath, with Brechin currently five points ahead of their opponents with two games in hand. Brechin’s fixture pile-up appears to have taken its toll recently, with Ray McKinnon’s side losing four of their last five matches and conceding 15 goals in the process. Arbroath, meanwhile, have gone five matches unbeaten, winning three and drawing two. The sides have met 100 times in national competitions, and the head-to-head is incredibly close, with Arbroath winning 38 to Brechin’s 36.



The play-offs also take centre stage in Division Three, with four of the five challengers in direct competition on Saturday. Fifth place Berwick Rangers will be aiming to make up their three point deficit on the play-off places as they welcome second placed Queen’s Park to Shielfield. Neither team go into the game on great form – Berwick have lost their last three matches, while the Spiders have gone five games without a win. Queen’s Park have won just once in their last seven trips to Berwick in the league – that came in March last year.

Sixth place Elgin City are four points adrift of opponents Montrose in the final play-off, and realistically need to win if they are to keep themselves in the race. Both sides have gone three matches without defeat, although both had to settle for a draw last weekend. The last six meetings of these sides have featured 28 goals, with both sides scoring in each of those meetings.


If you have any particular questions or topics you would like Craig to cover, contact him via Twitter at @SPLstats. Don’t let the name throw you – he also covers the football league too.

Craig Anderson

Craig Anderson

Craig Anderson is a football obsessive and a Statistics PhD student. He combined these two passions to create the @SPLstats Twitter account, where he shares trivia about the Scottish game. Craig has scored as many international goals as Chris Iwelumo.

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