I Am Son of Gamblor: Week Four

I COULDN’T have asked for a better start to the SFL season. A beautifully sunny day, I strolled up to Firhill to meet the usual crowd or ne’er-do-wells and got myself ready for the season opener between Partick Thistle and Falkirk. I was sitting on a two-unit bet on the Jags to win the game at around 11/8. After Thistle raced to a two-goal lead within ten minutes, I knew I had made the right decision.

However, there were also other matches on my mind, and it’s worth discussing how a (supposedly) organised gambler prepares for a weekend of betting.

In a normal week, I’ll start my preparation on the Sunday. I’ll start by reading the the weekend’s match reports across the SFL. I’ll also speak to my contacts who will have attended various games and gauge their opinion on the matches went – the key information I’m looking for is the strengths and weaknesses of the teams and players, and I use this to assess them.

As this was the first week of the season, the preparation was done well in advance, and I’d identified a few games I fancied to bet on:

Ayr v Stenhousemuir (+.5)
Partick Thistle v Falkirk (-.5)
Morton v Livingston (-.25)
Queen of the South v Forfar (-.75)
Berwick v Elgin (draw, no bet)
Peterhead v Rangers (+1.5)

The teams in bold were the ones I was leaning towards on the handicap. I haven’t put in the available prices (not because I can’t remember, but they would have probably been around even money in most cases).

There was a time when I’d have steamed in and bet on them all. However, there is an intangible element to betting I call “feel” – how I feel about the bigger picture, where I think there might be upsets, or when I’m just not feeling as brave as normal. In any case, my decision was to just bet on Thistle alone and ignore the other games. If I’d been a bit braver, I would have won some decent bets, but, as they say, there’s always tomorrow. I never worry about the one that got away – I don’t see any point in it.

If you remember from last week’s article, I’ve placed a series of ante post bets on each of the SFL divisions. It was good to see Queen of the South winning, and Peterhead’s point against Rangers has to be considered a bonus.

Do I have any advice for the weekend’s fixtures? Yes – go to a game and form your own opinion about what you see. If you don’t go to the games, your chances of making it pay on the SFL are minimal.

If you have any particular questions or topics you would like David to cover, contact him via Twitter at @sflpunter.

(Due to work commitments, there will be no Son of Gamblor entry next week.)

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