I Am Son of Gamblor: Week 14

I SOMETIMES feel that certain weeks drag by, while others are gone in the blink of an eye. The last week has gone in an instant. I watched many, many games, and it culminated with a big day of betting on Saturday.

Through the week, I took in a Partick Thistle reserve game against Ayr United, followed by a trip to Broadwood to watch Clyde take on Elgin. Having made my way through some horrendous weather to get to Cumbernauld, I felt I’d gained some good information about both teams. Although Elgin started the game well and raced to a two-goal lead, they showed frailty to allow a weak Clyde team back into the game – it suggests they’re not to be sided with at short prices.

I really didn’t think much of Clyde either. They look like a team with no central midfield, as well as a defensive shambles. The Bully Wee had players drawn towards the ball, letting men run off them at all angles. Their early performance was so bad that I started to bet on Berwick to beat them on the Saturday, three days later, thinking the match would end up at 0-6 and their price for the weekend would collapse completely. Somehow, Clyde got back into the game and salvaged a draw (and almost won the game at the death).

The standout price for me this week (apart from Berwick, of course) was 6/4 on Alloa to beat Ayr. Regular readers will know that I don’t think much of Ayr this season. They’ve had a few wins in recent weeks, but I’m putting that down to their opponents’ weakness rather than the sudden re-awakening of a giant. It turns out the match was only won by a single goal, but every win counts!

Elsewhere, the current Falkirk side with Lyle Taylor in attack are always going to be a huge threat to teams lacking in pace at the back (which could probably include every team in the SFL). They were priced up at 10/11 early on and I made a small bet. By all accounts, it was by no means a terrific performance from the Bairns, but they did enough with Taylor making important contributions.

The 5/4 I took on Cowdenbeath or a Draw No Bet has to be my unluckiest bet of the week. Twice in the game they had a two goal lead; for it to end in the last minute at 4-4 was a bitter pill to swallow.

As ever, it’s sometimes as much about the bets I didn’t have as the bets I did. I thought Elgin were too short and I wanted to bet on Annan +.5, but I was perhaps a bit greedy and wanted a slightly bigger price than was available. The price never arrived and another winner passed me by.

The losing bet? Well, it was a very small punt on Forfar. This was nothing other than a horrendous decision given the players they had missing, but at less than half the size of the bet of any of the winners, it was something I can cope with.

Although I didn’t bet on them to win their game on Saturday, the other match which blew my Antepost accumulator was Peterhead’s defeat at the Shire. This season has all the hallmarks of last term’s massive underperformance from our fishy friends – is Jim Mcinally doing a decent job with the players he has at his disposal? I’m not sure, but unless a serious improvement occurs over the next month, it’s likely to be mid-table mediocrity once again.

I can’t let the week pass without mentioning Thistle’s game with Airdrie. I was delighted about the football on show, but felt a little sorry for Airdrie. To my eye, the manager needs to take serious responsibility for his side’s shape (or lack of it). Do they even want to be in the First Division next year, or are they more interested in the 10,000 Rangers fans who might visit their stadium next season?

 

As ever, if you have any questions, please contact David on Twitter @sflpunter or leave a comment below.

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